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pc蛋蛋xy28pc|寥寥数语

作者:洛然 来源:时间:2015-03-25 22:21 阅读: 次   我要投稿
本文来源:http://www.lbwta.com.cn/a/www.gzsme.gov.cn/

pc蛋蛋加拿大凤凰预测www.lbwta.com.cn,违规行为存在客观理由,处罚措施重将带来严重后果等原因均不符合从轻、减轻或不予处罚的法定情节。USPresident-electDonaldTrumppausesashetalkstomembersofthemediaatMar-a-LagoestateinPalmBeach,Florida,US,December21,2016.[Photo/Agencies]DonaldTrumpsaidhelikestobeunpredictable.Indeed,hehasbeensuccessfulinconfusingenemies,alliesandpartnersalike.HesaidChinahasstolenAmericanjobsandthreatenedtoslapa45percentimporttariffonChinesegoods.ButaChinesespokesmanhasalreadymadeitclearthatiftheone-Chinaprincipleisnotupheld,thedevelopmentofChina-USrelationsandbilateralcooperationinimportantareasisoutofthequestion.TodayChina'seconomyalreadyaccountsfor63percentofthatoftheUnitedStates.ShouldTrumpinitiateatradewarbetweenthetwolargesteconomiesintheworld,Chinawon'tbetheonlyloser.However,therearethingsthatcouldputChinaandtheUSonacollisioncourse.Thefearisthatincidents,suchasaChineseJ-8fighter'scollisionwithaUSEP-3in2001orthestandoffbetweentheUSNSImpeccableandtheUSSCowpenswithChinesevesselsin2009and2013,andthedeadlycloseencounterbetweenaChineseJ-11BfighterwithaUSNP-8Poseidonin2014,couldseethetwogiants"sleepwalking"intoawar.AnincidentbetweenChinaandJapanaroundthedisputedislandsintheEastChinaSeaorintheiroverlappingAirDefenseIdentificationZonescouldalsoleadtoaconflictthatinvolvestheUSasJapan'sally.Whetheritacknowledgesitornot,theUSisdeclining-otherwiseTrumpwouldnotneedtodeclarehewantsto"makeAmericagreatagain".And,likeitornot,Chinaisstillrising,althoughitseconomyhasslowed.ThefirstChineseaircraftcarrierhasbecomeoperationalandasecondoneisintheworks.TheUSneedstodosomesoul-searchingonasimplequestion:HowmanymilitarysecretsdoesChinahavethatjustifiestheUS'dailyintelligencesurveillanceandreconnaissancethathaslastedfordecades.ThisistherootcauseoftheincidentswhichoccurinChina'sexclusiveeconomiczonesorintheSouthChinaSea.Inotherwords,ifthereisnoUSintelligencesurveillanceandreconnaissance,therewillnotbeanincident.True,thetwocountrieshavesignedTheRulesofBehaviorforSafetyofMaritimeandAirEncounterbetweenChinaandtheUS-amilestoneinconfidencebuildingandavoidingacrisis,andpledgedtodomoreexercisestofamiliarizethemselveswithgoodseamanshipandairmanship.ButifastrongerChinabelievesthattheUS'intelligencesurveillanceandreconnaissanceactivitiesinChina'sexclusiveeconomiczonesareahostileactivitythatitneedstocounter,thereistheriskofanotherincident.AhealthyChina-USrelationshipcanonlybemanagedthroughdynamicleadership,firminstitutionsandstrongconfidencebuildingmeasures.Aheadofstateshouldbeaccountableand,inaway,bepredictable.Unpredictabilityisadangeroushattowear.Itonlyaddsuncertaintyandbreedsmiscalculations.ItremainstobeseeniftheUSwillcontinueits"freedomofnavigation"operationsintheSouthChinaSeaundertheTrumpadministration.ThankstoaU-turnintherelationshipbetweenChinaandthePhilippineslargelyspearheadedbyPresidentRodrigoDuterte,thetensionsintheSouthChinaSeahavecalmeddown.AnyfurtherUSintrusionintothewatersofChina-controlledislandsorreefswillonlyshowtheUStobethetroublemaker.Likeitornot,theworldhastodealwithaTrumpasUSpresident.Butbeingunpredictablewon'tbehissecretweapon.ItwillbehisAchilles'heel.TheauthorisanhonoraryfellowwithCenterofChina-AmericanDefenseRelationsatthePLAAcademyofMilitarySciences.

雨声拨乱的风景,坐在风中的自己。

以为远处的背影刺伤着自己

不禁看着分崩离析的雨水轰然落地后。

狠狠砸在了外衣上,随即荡漾一片深色

紧接着借这凉意瑟瑟发抖………不远处传来的歌这样唱着:“原来是用来说明,你不爱我这件事情!”

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